N.Y. Mets at ARIZONA (-155)
The Athletics came through Sunday for my sixth win in my last nine complimentary selections. Now I’m turning to a battle of bad teams to gain another victory today!
The Mets lost three out of four games against the Diamondbacks a week ago, and have dropped four of the last five meetings between the clubs.
Doug Davis (6-10, 3.67 ERA) takes the mound for Arizona today, and the left-hander is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts. He allowed two runs and four hits in seven innings Wednesday in a 4-3 victory at Pittsburgh.
Davis is 2-1 with a 4.83 ERA in seven starts vs. New York. He allowed two runs in six innings on July 31 in his last outing against the Mets, but didn’t receive a decision.
The Mets will send new father Mike Pelfrey (8-7, 4.75) to the mound today. The right-hander will be making his first start after seven days’ rest due to the birth of his first child.
Pelfrey is 0-3 with a 4.63 ERA in four career starts against Arizona, and allowed three runs and five hits in five innings in a 5-2 loss to the Diamondbacks on Aug. 2.
Davis is just 3-6 in 12 home starts this year, but his ERA is 3.30 in those outings. Pelfrey is a misleading 4-4 in nine road starts, as his ERA is 5.75.
The Mets have been struggling for about two months, and have lost eight of their last 11 games. With Davis on the mound for Arizona, I don’t see New York stopping its slide today. Take the Diamondbacks on the run line.
2♦ ARIZONA -1 1/2 RUNS